Where will the freighters go as capacity shifts from tariff-hit China-US lane?
Cargo airlines are scrabbling to find new markets as capacity becomes available following the end ...
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By Mike Wackett
A total of 37 newbuild ultra-large container vessels (ULCV) have been deployed by ocean carriers to the Asia-North Europe tradelane so far this year, increasing capacity by 2.3% against a headhaul demand decline of 3.5%.
Moreover, according to Alphaliner there are a further 13 ships of 13,800-20,000 teu stemmed for delivery by December that will potentially throw the supply chain imbalance further out of kilter.
“Supply growth would have been even higher if it were not for the 75 void sailings carriers ...
Comment on this article
Jerry McCormick
August 27, 2015 at 1:25 pmThe major issue is that productivity at terminals and service levels of ports, combined with natural restrictions are noot keeping up with bigger sized vessels. As long as terminals do not perform 250 moves per hour average and more there is no need to come with bigger vessels as finally 450 m plus are occupied by a vessel working for long hours on a final crane.
Daniela Zicari
August 29, 2015 at 10:04 pmIn respect to the comments of cascading capacity and over tonnage through Panama Canal to south/south continents, please allow me to comment that over-capacity has somehow already reached Latin America`s region due to the current deceleration of the economy further accentuated by sluggish demand including vessels`s replacement and reconfiguration of services that took place, but seems the worst is yet to come…
Latin America’s economy decelerated considerably in the first half of the year. Economic growth was dragged down by deteriorating conditions in Brazil and Venezuela and sluggish performance in the rest of the economies in the region. A GDP growth estimate showed that Latin America slowed from a 0.8% annual expansion in the fourth quarter of 2014 to a tepid 0.1% increase in the first three months of 2015.
In respect to Brazil facing currently a severe recession, gross domestic product contracted 1.9 percent in the second three months of the year from the previous quarter. That was the biggest contraction in more than six years, and worse than the median estimate of a 1.7 percent fall from 41 economists surveyed.
Latin America’s largest economy is suffering from multiple woes: borrowing costs at their highest since 2006, inflation at more than double the target, rising unemployment, a crumbling currency and a corruption scandal, therefore a very challenging region to employ additional over tonnage at this fragile moment.