Rates still slipping as peak season recedes and port strike threat subsides
Freight rates are continuing their downward correction following the premature peak season and front-loading of ...
AAPL: SHIFTING PRODUCTIONUPS: GIVING UP KNIN: INDIA FOCUSXOM: ANOTHER WARNING VW: GROWING STRESSBA: OVERSUBSCRIBED AND UPSIZEDF: PRESSED ON INVENTORY TRENDSF: INVENTORY ON THE RADARF: CEO ON RECORD BA: CAPITAL RAISING EXERCISEXPO: SAIA BOOSTDSV: UPGRADEBA: ANOTHER JUMBO FUNDRAISINGXPO: SAIA READ-ACROSSHLAG: BOUYANT BUSINESS
AAPL: SHIFTING PRODUCTIONUPS: GIVING UP KNIN: INDIA FOCUSXOM: ANOTHER WARNING VW: GROWING STRESSBA: OVERSUBSCRIBED AND UPSIZEDF: PRESSED ON INVENTORY TRENDSF: INVENTORY ON THE RADARF: CEO ON RECORD BA: CAPITAL RAISING EXERCISEXPO: SAIA BOOSTDSV: UPGRADEBA: ANOTHER JUMBO FUNDRAISINGXPO: SAIA READ-ACROSSHLAG: BOUYANT BUSINESS
Mainline operators are looking for a a price hike in Asia-US West Coast rates in mid-August to undo the recent correction.
Hikes of $1,000 per 40ft have been announced for 15 August, by carriers hoping to halt the declines of the past three weeks.
On Friday, the Shanghai Containerised Freight Index showed Shanghai-US West Coast rates lost about 7% from the previous week, averaging $6,663 per 40ft, although this remained above the $1,943 of a year ago.
Linerlytica’s report today notes: “The carriers’ resolve will be keenly tested, as recent capacity additions on the Asia-to-USWC and Mexico routes have tilted the supply-demand balance on the previously tight market, with capacity utilisation falling despite strong peak season cargo demand.”
While cargo volumes continue to show very strong growth in the traditional Q3 peak season, the recent launch of new services, such as SeaLead Shipping’s AWC and various ad hoc USWC sailings, have boosted capacity on the lane by more than 15%.
Linerlytica estimates there are now 306 vessels, for more than 2.58m teu, plying the Asia-US West Coast lane, up 14% year on year.
On the other hand, Asia-US East Coast rates saw a lower drop of 2% from the previous week, averaging $9,557 per 40ft, with capacity fairly consistent from a year ago, at more than 2.75m teu.
Listen to this clip from The Loadstar Podcast to hear about container rates now vs Covid – and have they plateaued?
Asia-Europe rates have also held up, remaining almost unchanged at $4,991 per 40ft, as tight capacity has compensated for reduced cargo volumes.
Linerlytica noted: “Although (Asia-North Europe) utilisation has dropped below the May-June peaks, capacity remains tight in the market, with adverse weather conditions and congestion causing significant vessel bunching and sliding schedules for both North Europe and Mediterranean services.”
Several extra loader sailings have also been cancelled. CMA CGM, which planned to introduce a French Peak Service with seven sailings through September, has reduced this to four.
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