Transpacific container trade – how the carriers stack up
Dollars and cents on the Asia-US
GXO: HAMMEREDMAERSK: BOUNCING BACKDSV: FLIRTING WITH NEW HIGHS AMZN: NEW HIGH IN RECORD MARKETS WMT: RECORD IN RECORD MARKETSDSV: UPGRADEGM: BIG CHINA IMPAIRMENTCHRW: DEFENSIVEKO: GENERATIVE AI VISIONKO: AI USAGEKO: MORGAN STANLEY CONFERENCEGXO: NO SALE NO MOREGXO: CEO EXITDSV: TINY LITTLE CHANGE
GXO: HAMMEREDMAERSK: BOUNCING BACKDSV: FLIRTING WITH NEW HIGHS AMZN: NEW HIGH IN RECORD MARKETS WMT: RECORD IN RECORD MARKETSDSV: UPGRADEGM: BIG CHINA IMPAIRMENTCHRW: DEFENSIVEKO: GENERATIVE AI VISIONKO: AI USAGEKO: MORGAN STANLEY CONFERENCEGXO: NO SALE NO MOREGXO: CEO EXITDSV: TINY LITTLE CHANGE
Israeli carrier Zim posted a net profit of $1.34bn for the second quarter, for an interim H1 result of $3bn, and believes it can navigate any downturn in the liner markets.
The carrier reaffirmed its full-year guidance of an adjusted ebit of $6.3bn, to $6.7bn.
“We feel confident in our ability to develop quarter after quarter of profit,” Zim CFO Xavier Destriau told investors at yesterday’s Q2 earnings call.
Revenue for the period was $3.4bn, from a 7% year-on-year decrease in liftings, to 856,000 teu, and an industry-leading average rate of $3,596 per teu.
Zim president and CEO Eli Glickman said he was “very proud” of the carrier’s results and, despite a gradual decline, both spot and contract rates “remain highly profitable”.
Zim’s spot and contract business is roughly 50:50 across its tradelanes, with both markets in general “paying the same”, according to Mr Destriau.
However, he admitted that the premium surcharges on the transpacific had “faded” in the past quarter, although “our vessels have been sailing full”.
Mr Glickman said: “We are confident our differentiated strategy, the proactive steps we have taken to strengthen our commercial offering and secure cost efficient newbuild capacity and continued investment in digital initiatives and disruptive technologies will position Zim as a top performer in our industry.”
According to Alphaliner data, Zim is currently the tenth-biggest carrier in terms of capacity, with an operating fleet of 138 ships of 514,560 teu, of which only eight are owned by the carrier.
Moreover, it has an impressive orderbook of 44 vessels, with a capacity of 389,904 teu, which the carrier will take via long-term charters. They include ten 15,000 teu LNG-powered vessels, stemmed for delivery between February next year and February 2024 and will be deployed on Zim’s Asia-US east coast trade.
Zim regards its strategy of chartering new ships rather than buying “old assets” as being more flexible than its competitors, pointing to the 28 chartered vessels that could be returned to owners next year in the case of a downturn, and another 34 that could, if necessary, be off-hired in 2024.
Speaking to The Loadstar yesterday, Mr Glickman and Mr Destriau argued that the so-called ‘normalisation’ of the liner industry, when it eventually arrived, would be very different to the cut-throat, market-share-grab mentality that existed before the pandemic.
“The ability of the industry to maintain margins that will allow the industry to deliver results that will exceed the cost of capital will be preserved, which is something our industry has not managed to deliver in past cycles,” said Mr Destriau.
He argued that the industry had demonstrated an ability to better manage capacity during the pandemic, and the “behaviour” of the container lines had changed. He added: “The agenda of the larger shipping lines has shifted to trying not to compete and gain additional market share.
“We see Maersk concede the leading position to MSC, which is also a good indicator that the pricing war the whole of the industry has been playing for most of the past decades is maybe cooling off.”
Mr Destriau added that the shipping decarbonising agenda was “a formidable challenge, but also an opportunity” for the industry and would have a role to play in the definition of the ‘new normal’.
He said: “Lastly, customers, used to thinking transport came for free, experienced the pain of not having access to capacity when they desperately needed it, and now they recognise that the service we provide has value, and whatever has value has a price.”
Comment on this article
Jonathan yale
September 21, 2022 at 10:29 pmSlow economic growth in both China and the USA are affecting volume. Does ZIM management have an updated guidance? What steps can they take to manage this unexpected downturn?