End of de minimis will bring turbulence for airfreight shippers and forwarders
Shippers and forwarders with long-term commitments for transpacific aircraft capacity could find themselves in a ...
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WTC: RIDE THE WAVEFDX: TOP EXEC OUTPEP: TOP PERFORMER KO: STEADY YIELD AND KEY APPOINTMENTAAPL: SUPPLIER IPOCHRW: SLIGHTLY DOWNBEAT BUT UPSIDE REMAINSDHL: TOP PRIORITIESDHL: SPECULATIVE OCEAN TRADEDHL: CFO REMARKSPLD: BEATING ESTIMATESPLD: TRADING UPDATEBA: TRUMP TRADE
In this episode, host Mike King and guests delve into the intricate puzzles of global supply chains amid geopolitical turmoil, trade disputes and unpredictable market conditions.
They cover Middle East supply chain disruptions, surges in the Asia-Mexico tradelane, evolving air cargo market dynamics in the wake of air space closures and the rise of Chinese e-tailers.
They also consider how shippers can navigate multiple supply chain risks and ask whether some have shipped cargo early this year. If so, what does this mean for the traditional Q3 peak season?
Conversely, if demand increases substantially in the months ahead, can already strained liner networks cope?
Guests:
Tom Crabtree, MD, Trade and Transport Group
Peter Sand, chief analyst, Xeneta
Gavin van Marle, managing editor, The Loadstar
Episode in more detail:
Part 1 – Container shipping (00:00-38:00)
Key questions tackled:
How do you plan around ever-changing Middle East risk?
Has European trade decoupled from economic growth or is this an early peak season?
Why is Asia to Mexico the most dynamic trade lane in the world?
Why are Chinese exports seemingly outstripping demand? Is this dumping and will it result in more tariffs from importers?
Given record containership deliveries, what happens if the Suez Canal reopens?
If we have a traditional container shipping peak season, can stretched liner networks cope with a surge in demand?
Part 2 – Air cargo analysis (38:00-58:00)
Key questions examined:
Are we seeing a fundamental shift in e-commerce demand?
Will Chinese e-tailers new business models prove sustainable?
How are air space closures for some carriers impacting global freighter and bellyhold operations?
How is shipping disruption firing demand?
What impact will more (and higher) tariffs have on trade?
Air freight supply and demand – where next?
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Credits: Created, edited and produced by Mike King & Associates for The Loadstar
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