Happy last year in air freight (for some) – and good luck with the next
“Airfreight hasn’t been a bonanza for everybody in 2024,” said Niall van de Wouw, chief ...
FDX: ABOUT USPS PRIVATISATIONFDX: CCO VIEWFDX: LOWER GUIDANCE FDX: DISRUPTING AIR FREIGHTFDX: FOCUS ON KEY VERTICALFDX: LTL OUTLOOKGXO: NEW LOW LINE: NEW LOW FDX: INDUSTRIAL WOESFDX: HEALTH CHECKFDX: TRADING UPDATEWMT: GREEN WOESFDX: FREIGHT BREAK-UPFDX: WAITING FOR THE SPINHON: BREAK-UP ALLUREDSV: BREACHING SUPPORTVW: BOLT-ON DEALAMZN: TOP PICK
FDX: ABOUT USPS PRIVATISATIONFDX: CCO VIEWFDX: LOWER GUIDANCE FDX: DISRUPTING AIR FREIGHTFDX: FOCUS ON KEY VERTICALFDX: LTL OUTLOOKGXO: NEW LOW LINE: NEW LOW FDX: INDUSTRIAL WOESFDX: HEALTH CHECKFDX: TRADING UPDATEWMT: GREEN WOESFDX: FREIGHT BREAK-UPFDX: WAITING FOR THE SPINHON: BREAK-UP ALLUREDSV: BREACHING SUPPORTVW: BOLT-ON DEALAMZN: TOP PICK
IATA has robustly defended its methodology after a column in The Loadstar this week claimed current load factor reporting was doing the air cargo industry a disservice.
Niall van de Wouw argues in his piece that the standard methodology for calculating freight load factors is misleading: dividing freight tonne km (FTKs) by available tonne km (ATKs) does not account for the volume capacity (in cubic metres) – which is essentially the bottleneck, not the weight capacity (in tonnes).
But IATA defended its position.
“IATA totally refutes accusations that the reported figures by airlines are inaccurate, they do take into account both the mass restrictions as well as volumetric restrictions that may occur on a per-flight basis, on top of any other operational restrictions that would limit the amount of effective available payload. They are also based on long-standing industry practices for comparative reporting.”
The airline association added: “Of course it’s easy to cite a single example of one shipment on a 737 aircraft and calculate various forms of ‘load factor’. However this industry is a bit more complex than that, with over 100,000 daily flights performed by over 900 airlines connecting 20,000 city pairs via a fleet of over 220 different aircraft types. In this environment, statistical reporting is about standard data aggregation and analytics, comparatives over time are indicative of trends and directional movements.”
However, Mr van de Wouw argued that IATA’s statistics were not inaccurate, just failed to reflect the realities of the market.
“Imagine a hotel publishing its occupancy rate based on the number of beds used, instead of rooms used. It would be far lower. In the air cargo industry, load factors are counted as if it was bed occupancy.”
And while he agreed that comparatives did indeed reveal trends, he stressed that the base point itself was “misrepresentative”.
Responses to the column from the industry back Mr van de Wouw’s stance.
Some sources acknowledged that load factors appearing to be so low – currently hovering at less than 44%, even on major trades such as Asia Pacific (55%) – stymied the industry’s ability to stress its importance to regulators, as well as enabling airports to argue that freight does not need additional slots, as airlines appear to be unable to fill their aircraft.
Year-on-year freight load factors rose just 3% in July, while freight tonne km were up 11.4% and available tonne km rose 3.7%.
Despite the defence of its position, IATA noted it may consider new methodology.
“IATA always welcomes constructive suggestions as to how the industry reporting mechanisms can be improved,” it said.
Mr van de Wouw responded: “We might well take IATA up on that. Watch this space.”
Comment on this article
Stan Wraight
September 08, 2017 at 3:46 pmNiall is right, and the statistics are wrong and everyone should admit it. This missing professional evaluation should not be just dismissed, many an entity even Boeing with the initial “full freighter equivalent” methodology got it wrong. IATA rules such as generic 1:6 volume ratios for example, minimum charges as well are all based on 707/DC8 thinking. Get with it, long distance point to point with large aircraft make this an imperative for all CEO/CFO and cargo managers to understand that new math is needed to show the actual contribution of cargo.
still missing elements...
September 11, 2017 at 3:32 pmAlex… the article and rebuttal by IATA are still missing elements that were previously observed by myself and others… different cargo product & commodity densities, directional imbalances due to global trade patterns and the inherent differences between freighter ops and cargo/pax bellies not even rating a mention as causal factors that make such metrics difficult to compare in a fair and even manner!
Bart Jan Haasbeek
October 05, 2017 at 11:06 amInteresting response from IATA, a bit bullish, not supportive and ignoring this is an important topic. IATA’s response mentioned that Niall “just failed to reflect the realities of the market”; but IATA, on the contrary the open letter is exactly doing this, the reality is, the is market changing is not just for the last decade.
There are many indicators justifying a serious study should be initiated and no doubt this would result in a recommendation that a revised calculation method would be desirable. Everybody knows that the figures are distorted, just working around them and/or using different KPI’s.